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Pay Growth Rises: What It Means for You
Stronger wages highlight opportunities in a cooling job market
Fiona Kyle
December 17, 2024
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Wages in the UK are rising faster than expected, providing a boost to workers and job seekers, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Regular pay grew at an annual rate of 5.2% between August and October, outpacing inflation and marking the first acceleration in over a year.

This news is a positive sign for those seeking better-paying roles or salary increases, especially in the private sector, where pay growth was stronger at 5.4%.

Why Pay Growth Matters

For job seekers, higher wages can mean increased opportunities to secure roles with better remuneration, even as the labour market shows signs of cooling. The ONS reported a fall of 31,000 in job vacancies to 818,000 for the September-to-November period, though this total remains above pre-pandemic levels.

Private sector employers are driving the uptick in wages, which Liz McKeown, director of statistics at the ONS, attributes to stronger growth in private sector pay: “After slowing steadily for over a year, growth in pay excluding bonuses increased slightly in the latest period driven by stronger growth in private sector pay.”

This trend is especially important for workers seeking roles in industries such as finance, construction, or technology, where private sector growth tends to influence pay trends.

Implications for the Wider Economy
Rising wages also impact broader economic decisions, including interest rates. With the Bank of England closely monitoring pay growth when making policy decisions, the latest figures reduce the likelihood of a further rate cut in the immediate future.

“The latest UK jobs report provides yet more justification, if any were needed, for the Bank of England to keep rates on hold at its meeting this week,” said James Smith, developed markets economist at ING.

Private sector pay growth is particularly significant. Mr Smith noted, “This matters for the Bank, because private sector pay trends tend to be more reflective of the wider situation in the jobs market than in the public sector.”

Job Market Challenges Persist
Despite the rise in wages, challenges remain in the job market. The ONS reported a decline of 35,000 in payroll numbers for November, and unemployment remained steady at 4.3%. Additionally, businesses are expressing concerns about the recently announced increase in National Insurance Contributions for employers, which some fear could impact hiring.

The economic outlook has prompted warnings from industry leaders. The boss of Reed, one of the UK’s largest recruitment firms, described the economy as “cooling,” suggesting a potential recession may be “around the corner.”

Opportunities for Job Seekers
While the overall jobs market may be slowing, the rise in pay growth signals opportunities for job seekers to secure roles with competitive salaries. Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall emphasised the need to create good-quality jobs: “To get Britain growing again, we need to get Britain working again – so people have good jobs which pay decent wages and offer the chance to progress.”

With wages rising, now could be an ideal time for job seekers to explore new opportunities or renegotiate existing pay, particularly in the private sector. As the labour market evolves, focusing on sectors that are driving wage growth could help job seekers maximise their potential earnings.

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